Calories burned is not a calorie target
WHOOP works out calories burned from your height, weight, age, and sex, then adds heart-rate-driven activity on top. WHOOP itself suggests trusting the multi-day trend over any single day.
Knowing roughly what you burned still leaves the real question open: what should you eat? Zolt answers it by learning your expenditure from your intake and weight trend, then setting the target for you.